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Compare RFM, RRM and RFC →Book a demo

Every account ages. Not every account grows.

RRM is a segmentation model developed by Scnario. It places every customer by account age (Registration) against how recently they bought and how much they spent (Recency, Monetary). Recalculated every day across 52 weeks of history with an 8-week prediction, it shows whether value is growing at the pace the account age allows, and where it is heading.

−52 weeks history+8 weeks predictionmirrors RFC ↔
CUSTOMER #30518registered 52 weeks agoWEEK −51Prediction
(Recency + Monetary) / 2
Woods
Coppers
Silvers
Golds
Titans
Irons
Dusts
Rusts
← newer accountsRegistrationolder accounts →
RRM SEGMENTWoodsFirst order placed
REGISTRATIONregistered this week1/5
RECENCYlast order 106 days ago1/5
MONETARY$270 in 52 wks1/5
RFC MIRRORStarters↓
RRM
RFC
−52w−39w−26w−13wNOW+8w
With a Scnario value-growth scenario from week +1, the model expects a move to Titans by week +2, with RFC breadth reaching Masters.
Why we built RRM

Spend means more when you know how long it took.

RFM sums spend over the year for every customer the same way. An account registered twenty weeks ago that already spends like a regular looks merely average next to customers with years of history. RRM makes account age its own axis. Value is read against what is realistic for the tenure, so a young, high-spending account shows up as Silver or Gold instead of a mid scorer.

RFM reading#30518 · week −16
R4 · F3 · M3Potential Loyalist

Scored against customers with years of history. Spend looks average, so the account gets the same message as thousands of others.

RRM reading#30518 · week −16
Reg 3 · R4 · M4Golds

Scored against accounts of the same age. This level of spend in the first months puts the customer in the top value class for their tenure. The job is to grow value as the account matures.

The three dimensions

How long, how recently, how much.

RgRegistrationweeks since account registration

The clock of the relationship. It only moves one way, at the same pace for every customer, and places them from newest to oldest.

X axisshared with RFC
RRecencydays since last order

How recently the customer bought. Value that is not recent is value at risk, whatever its size.

Y axis · halfRFM uses it too
MMonetaryspend in 52 weeks

How much the customer spent in the rolling year, read against what is realistic for the account age.

Y axis · halfvalue side of the mirror
01 · −52 WEEKSSpend is counted over a rolling year, so seasonal peaks do not distort the value class.
02 · YOUR OWN BASEEach dimension is scored 1 to 5 against your customers, recalculated every day.
03 · ONE CLOCKRegistration only moves one way. That makes the vertical position the part marketing can influence.
04 · +8 WEEKSThe model predicts each customer's next RRM segment and how likely the move is.
The RRM map

Eight value classes, read from left to right.

Registration on the horizontal axis, the average of Recency and Monetary on the vertical. The left side is where relationships start, the right side is where they mature. Select a segment to see where its customers come from, where they go next and which scenario grows their value.

RRM Matrixshare of base · this week
Registration
12345
(Recency + Monetary) / 2
54321
Woods1.4%value index 35
Coppers5.1%value index 70
Silvers1.4%value index 110
Golds5.5%value index 150
Titans35.9%value index 240
Irons39.9%value index 80
Dusts3.1%value index 40
Rusts7.7%value index 26
moving upmoving downShares from a live base of 384,395 customers. Flows are demonstration data.
GoldsReg 3 · RM 3–5

Mid-tenure customers with high, recent value. The bridge to the top of the map.

SHARE5.5%
VALUE INDEX150
RFC MIRRORClimbers
COMES FROM
Silvers28%
Coppers18%
Dusts6%
MOVES TO · NEXT 8 WEEKS
Titans19%
Rusts14%
Dusts8%
NEXT BEST SCENARIOValue growthPremium lines and replenishment timing in core categories, backed by category expansion.Keep recency high and grow the basket as the account matures.
The development path

From first order to Titan, one step at a time.

Every account moves right every day, whether you act or not. What changes the outcome is how much value they carry when they get there. Each step on the path has one job: make the next move up more likely than the drift down.

WHAT IT MEANSWoodsYoung accounts with a first, low-value order. Value is small so far, but the account is new.
GOAL FOR THE NEXT STEPA second order with a larger basket.→ next: Coppers
SCENARIOOnboarding and first valueShow the range where baskets are larger and give one clear reason for a second order within weeks.
RFC MIRRORStartersYoung accounts with a first, narrow purchase.
VALUE INDEX35
WHERE PATHS STALLIrons↔Masters
Mature customers with steady, mid-level value. Usually the largest group in the base.
WAY BACKUpsell in core categories
WHERE PATHS STALLDusts↔Snipers
Mid-tenure customers whose value is fading: orders are less recent and smaller.
WAY BACKRe-engagement before loss
WHERE PATHS STALLRusts↔Sleepers
Mature accounts whose value has worn away. Last orders were long ago and small.
WAY BACKWinback, then suppression
RRM ↔ RFC

Two maps, one clock.

RRM and RFC share the same horizontal axis: Registration. RRM measures value, how recently and how much a customer buys. RFC measures breadth, how often and how widely. The same customer moves right on both maps at the same speed, so the two positions can be read side by side, day by day. Hover a segment to see its mirror.

#30518 · WEEK −51
RRMvalue · (R + M) / 2Woods
Woods
Coppers
Silvers
Golds
Titans
Irons
Dusts
Rusts
RFCbreadth · (F + C) / 2Starters
Starters
Shooters
Rockets
Climbers
Masters
Legends
Snipers
Sleepers
SHARED AXIS · REGISTRATION →
MIRROR PAIR · #30518 WEEK −51
WoodsYoung accounts with a first, low-value order.
StartersYoung accounts with a first, narrow purchase.
DISCOVERY LEADS, VALUE FOLLOWSBreadth moved first. RFC reached Shooters in week −46. RRM reached Golds in week −16. Value followed by 30 weeks.Watch RFC for the early signal: a rise there tends to reach RRM weeks later, and so does a stall.
Segment mirrors
WoodsStarters
CoppersShooters
SilversRockets
GoldsClimbers
TitansLegends
IronsMasters
DustsSnipers
RustsSleepers
WHEN THE MIRRORS DISAGREE · RRM HIGH, RFC LOWBig spend, narrow range.High value concentrated in one or two categories. The next step is cross-sell from the dominant category, read through CD.
WHEN THE MIRRORS DISAGREE · RFC HIGH, RRM LOWWide basket, small spend.The customer explores the range but keeps orders small. The next step is basket value: bundles and premium lines in categories they already use.
Read the breadth side in RFC →
Building LTV

Value that rests on breadth lasts.

Titans buy across far more categories than Irons or Rusts. Value that depends on a single need is fragile; value spread across the range holds. RRM shows where value stands this week, RFC shows whether there is enough breadth behind it. The 52-week history explains how each customer got there, and the 8-week prediction shows where value is heading.

Category breadth by RRM segmentindex · base average = 100
Titans175
Golds130
Silvers105
Irons85
Coppers78
Dusts50
Woods45
Rusts38
Dashed line marks the base average. Values from a live base of 384,395 customers.
The LTV cycle
01DiscoverRFC ↑ new category
02MonetiseRRM ↑ basket value
04Expandnext high-fit category
03Settlerhythm across categories
LTV
Explore the product

One customer base, several ways to read it.

RFM
RFMRecency · Frequency · MonetaryWho buys recently, often and for how much, read day by day.
RRMYou are here
RRMRegistration · Recency · MonetaryHow quickly customers grow the value of their orders after acquisition.
RFC
RFCRegistration · Frequency · CategoriesHow quickly customers discover your offer across categories after acquisition.
CD
CDCategory DistributionClusters customers with similar purchase patterns across categories.
LC
LifecycleRegistration → WinbackWhere each customer is in the relationship, from registration to reactivation.
AU
AudiencesBuilt on every segmentYour own definitions built on every report, ready for communication and tracked day by day.
Your customers are already moving.

Give every relationship the right next scenario.

See how Scnario can turn your customer data into a living understanding of every relationship — and a clear decision about what should happen next.

MOVING RIGHT NOW
Registered → First purchaseonboarding
Repeat → Loyalcategory growth
Loyal → Declinevalue protection
Inactive → Renewed intentreactivation