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Customer growthHow it worksUse casesProduct
RFMRFMRRMRRMRFCRFCCDCDLCLifecycleAUAudiences
Compare RFM, RRM and RFC →Book a demo
Use case · Beauty & cosmetics

Every routine runs out. Know who is due before they buy elsewhere.

Beauty customers buy on a replenishment rhythm and build routines across categories. Scnario reads that rhythm for each customer, so the next message lands when the product is running low and the next category follows the one they already trust.

replenishment 6–10 wks4–6 steps per routineminis → full size
LIFECYCLE · BEAUTY BASEdemo data
CONTACTS
14%10%16%22%30%
VALUE
15%57%18%
OnboardingActivationGrowthRetentionSaveWinback
Retention holds 16% of contacts and 57% of value. Save holds another 18% of value that is still recoverable.
What is different in beauty

Three dynamics shape the customer relationship.

01Replenishment sets the rhythm

Serums, cleansers and SPF run out on a predictable cycle. The customer’s own interval, not a fixed 30-day flow, decides when to remind.

02Value grows with the routine

Value rises when a single-product buyer adds a second step. RFC shows breadth growing weeks before order value does.

03Trial comes before commitment

Minis, samples and sets bring low-value first orders. RRM separates trial buyers who grow from those who stay at mini size.

Scenarios

Five moments, five different decisions.

Each scenario starts from a lifecycle phase and a segment move in RFM, RRM or RFC. The signal says when to act, the scenario says what to do, and the metric shows whether it worked.

01ActivationRFMNew→Promising
Second order inside the refill window
SIGNALFirst serum bought 5 weeks ago. Typical use is 6–8 weeks.ACTIONRefill reminder for the same product, timed to her usage. No discount.
MEASURED BY2nd order rate
02GrowthRFCShooters→Climbers
From one product to a routine
SIGNALThree orders, all in skincare. Browsing SPF.ACTIONNext routine step from her CD cluster, with a short how-to.
MEASURED BYcategories per customer
03GrowthRRMCoppers→Golds
From mini to full size
SIGNALRepeat mini and sample orders from the same line.ACTIONFull-size upgrade framed as cost per use.
MEASURED BYaverage order value
04SaveRFMLoyal→At Risk
Missed refill
SIGNALSix or more orders, refill interval exceeded by 40%.ACTIONRestock of the usual basket. Excluded from generic promotions.
MEASURED BYvalue kept
05WinbackRFMHibernating
Seasonal return
SIGNALChurned SPF buyer as the summer season starts.ACTIONOne seasonal reason to return, then suppression from paid audiences if there is no response.
MEASURED BYreactivation rate
CD · Category distribution

Where the value sits.

Skincare routine customers carry a third of the value and set the refill rhythm. Fragrance buyers order less often at a higher value, so they need their own timing.

Open the CD report →
Share of base value by clusterdemo data
Skincare routine
34%
Fragrance
22%
Makeup
18%
Haircare
14%
Body & bath
12%
Expected results

What changes after the first quarter.

Estimates for a typical beauty store running the five scenarios above for 12 weeks. Each number is one of the metrics the scenarios are measured by.

2nd order rateESTIMATE
31%from 24%
Refills ordered on timeESTIMATE
52%from 38%
Average order valueESTIMATE
$49from $42
Save → Retention returnsESTIMATE
14%from 9%
Fewer blanket discounts. Reminders follow each customer’s usage, not the calendar.
Routines grow across categories instead of one product bought again and again.
Paid media stops targeting customers who are not due for a refill yet.

Estimates based on typical ranges for the category. Actual results depend on base size, channel mix and starting point.

Other use cases

All use cases →
Sports & outdoorSeasonal peaks, disciplines as categories, and an upgrade path from entry-level to performance gear.Jewelry & watchesRare, high-value orders, gifts and self-purchase, and occasions that repeat every year.Women’s fashion boutiqueFast collections, high return rates, and customers who build outfits across dresses, blouses and jackets.
Your customers are already moving.

Give every relationship the right next scenario.

See how Scnario can turn your customer data into a living understanding of every relationship — and a clear decision about what should happen next.

MOVING RIGHT NOW
Registered → First purchaseonboarding
Repeat → Loyalcategory growth
Loyal → Declinevalue protection
Inactive → Renewed intentreactivation